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  Tribeca Tables.com Online Poker Trends: The Business of Online Poker
 
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Online Poker Vs. Offline Poker

No one knows for sure where poker originated from. Some say it was possibly derived from Chinese dominoes. Others claim that it came from "As Nas", a seventeenth century Persian game played using special decks of twenty-five cards with five suits. Others swear it was based on the French game of "Poque" a card game played by the French who settled in New Orleans in 1480. However, all of these theories remain debatable today.

The origins of online poker however, began as a computer game and software. Online poker then began to evolve and adapt to the ever-changing technology that supported it. In 1998, online poker history witnessed the very first online poker room. And for a very short period of time, Planet Poker became the first to capitalize on this new idea and became the first company to offer online poker to players. Since then, online poker has spread like wildfire and we soon saw online poker providers such as VC Poker, Doyle’s Room, Poker Spot, Party Poker and Blue Square Poker emerge to claim their place in online poker history.

Compared to traditional or "brick and mortar" poker venues or casinos, one obvious difference is that online poker players do not sit right across from each other, removing any ability to observe other player’s reactions and body language. Instead, online poker players learn to focus more keenly on betting patterns, reaction time and other behavioral tells that are not physical in nature. Since both traditional poker and online poker is a game that requires adaptability, successful online players learn to master and adapt to their new surroundings by playing more online poker games. Online poker is also a great way for novices to hone their skills.

On the business side, putting up an online poker room may be a wiser business venture for most gaming companies than a traditional poker room. Brick and mortar casinos often find that the rake or time charge is often very high and the overhead costs of running a poker room even higher. In fact, casinos make more money by removing poker rooms and adding more slot machines. Brick and mortar casinos are also reticent to promote poker because it is very difficult for them to profit from the activity. But that isn’t the case with online poker. Online poker venues, by contrast, are dramatically cheaper because they have much smaller overhead costs than their offline counterparts. For example, adding another table to an online poker room does not take up valuable space like it would for a brick and mortar casino. The major online poker sites offer varying features, but one common feature is to offer tournaments called satellites by which the online poker winners gain entry to real-life poker tournaments. Another key factor that continues to entice new online poker players is that online poker rooms allow the players to play for very low stakes (as low as 1¢) and often offer freeroll tournaments where online poker players can enter tournaments for free. Another less obvious difference is the rate of play in online poker rooms vs their brick and mortar counterparts. In brick and mortar poker rooms the dealer has to collect the cards, then shuffle and deal them after every hand. Due to this and other delays common in offline poker rooms, the average rate of play is around thirty hands per hour. Online poker rooms, however, do not have these delays and the rate of play is made faster due to "auto-action" buttons. So it is not uncommon for an online poker table to average sixty to eighty hands per hour with online poker players playing multiple tables at one time. This large difference in rate of play allows an online poker player to increase and even double his earnings.

Another important difference results from the fact that online poker rooms, in some cases, offer online poker schools or tutorials that teach the basics and significantly speed up the learning curve for novices. Many online poker rooms also provide free money play so that online poker players may practice their skills in various online poker games without the risk of losing real money. People who previously had no way to learn and improve their game now have the ability to learn the game much more quickly and gain invaluable experience from play money games offered on online poker rooms.

But for years, Internet gambling and online poker has seen strong opposition from those most threatened by gambling sites: legal American casinos. The American Gaming Association, a trade group of gaming firms, maintains this view regarding online poker and online wagering: "The industry has been state-regulated and we think it should remain that way. The Internet is presently unregulated and we support a federal law regulating Internet gambling." But their fears may be unsubstantiated. According to Bill Eadington, professor of gaming issues at the University of Nevada, “Online gambling and online poker has not affected Nevada's casinos. Their revenue has remained consistent and online gambling and online poker has not had a significant impact on the gaming industry in Nevada." So the casinos can rest easy. The trend clearly seems in favor of more online poker rooms, more players, and continuing legal uncertainties in a market that is undergoing rapid growth.

Online Poker Comes Of Age

In the late nineties, the world saw the crash of the mighty dot-com. One by one internet-based companies folded as a result of huge losses, and downsized their operations. But despite the losses, online gaming sites and more specifically online poker rooms, continued to flourish and grow with the advent of new technologies, faster internet connections and a steady influx of new online poker players everyday. And in 2003, online poker suddenly sky-rocketed beyond expectations and gained worldwide attention, all because of a $40 buy-in made by Chris Moneymaker for a satellite event at an online poker room. From there, he practically soared all the way through the World Series of Poker, landing first place and a cool $2.5 mil. Chris Moneymaker is known in online poker history as the man who placed the whole online poker industry on the map.

In 2004, a total of 2,600 players competed for the 5 million grand prize in the World Series of Poker. It broke the record of the 800-player turn-out in 2003. Online poker records show that almost half of the participants in the World Series of Poker gained their entries through online poker satellite tournaments. The 2005 WSOP came and with it, a whopping 6,000 registrants! As a feather in the industry’s cap, the champion was once again an online poker player, Greg Raymer.

Huge turn-outs to major poker tournaments enhanced the online poker industry’s credibility. The general public soon saw former unknowns like 2003 Poker Champion Chris Moneymaker elevated to celebrity status after his meteoric rise to fame. Soon after that online poker satellite tournaments became commonplace and are now more popular than ever. The trend suggests growing interest and involvement in online poker fed by a general surge in the popularity of poker in general.

Online Poker And The Media

Another important reason for the rapid growth of online poker is the increasing number of successful TV shows featuring poker. There are many examples of successful poker TV programming, among them the World Series of Poker on ESPN, Celebrity Poker on Bravo, and the European Poker Tour on Eurosport. Programmers discovered that their viewers love the excitement of watching live poker on TV, and that in turn stimulates even more interest in online poker.

And it’s not just the average Joe that’s tuning in. Even Hollywood has embraced the online poker phenomenon with great fervor. Media hungry socialite Paris Hilton and her sidekicks can be seen playing the game. Even heartthrobs like Leonardo Dicaprio and Tobey Maguire seem eager to join the online poker bandwagon. Most of these stars however, started out by playing online poker or play online poker to improve their game. Last year actor, producer, director, writer and Oscar winner Ben Affleck added another title to his long list - that of Poker Champion when he won $356,400 at a poker tournament. His win earned him a seat in next year's World Poker Tour Championship next April.

But the most astounding celebrity win came from an Oscar nominated actress known more for playing risqué and stereotypical ditsy, busty girl roles. Actress Jennifer Tilly won the Ladies no-limit Texas Hold ’Em event at the World Series of Poker — the first time a celebrity has won an event at the famous tournament.

Tilly’s skillful play earned her a cool $158,625 and a championship bracelet. She beat 600 top female professional poker players to capture first place. Tilly, 46, said she’s learned plenty of pointers from her boyfriend, online poker and professional poker player Phil “Unabomber” Laak.

The demand for online poker on TV is so great that ESPN’s 22-part series last year was viewed by an average of more than 1.5 million households — a 42% increase from the network’s 2003 seven-part series. According to Gary Thompson, director of tournament operations, “Last year the World Series of Poker had higher ratings than everything on ESPN except the NFL and NASCAR”. He also added that he “will expect to see even higher ratings this year because of the greater size of the purse ($7.5 million to be exact and a championship bracelet), the greater number of players and the momentum the game has built.”

The trend points to an increase in online poker and poker related programs on US TV stations which, is partially influenced by the media and the entertainment business’ budding interest and extensive promotion of the sport. Soon, as many predicted, it won’t be long till ESPN and others Sports TV stations start broadcasting poker tournaments 20-hours a day. But till then the rest of the online poker-mad universe will have to wait.

Online Poker Growth

The growth of the online poker industry is staggering. According to the World Poker Exchange, 39% of those playing are logging in for an online poker game more than 5 times a month. It has also been reported that over one third of online poker players are female with women being the fastest growing segment of the online poker playing public. Now imagine those percentages by the millions. For the online poker industry overall, "Total revenue for online poker among all companies was already a healthy $92 million in 2002, but then online poker revenues exploded, surpassing $1 billion just two years later, according to Christiansen Capital Advisors L.L.C., a consulting firm in New Gloucester, Me., that specializes in advising gambling companies. In the case of PartyGaming (PRTY), the parent company of the largest online poker room went public on the London Stock Exchange, achieving a market value in excess of $10 billion dollars within a week of its initial public offering. At the time of the IPO, 92% of income came from online poker operations.

Nowadays, these online poker operations have become global in scope, reaching gamblers and online poker players even in countries where all forms of betting are banned. While the majority of the revenue sources for most online poker sites come mainly from the United States with a growing audience in the UK, other areas specifically in Asia and in Central and Southern Europe have online poker markets that remain untapped. This has not only sparked the interest of major online poker rooms but also has them seeing profits in Euros.

While the online poker community continues to enjoy a steady and very healthy growth, some aspects of the game seem uncertain, with many questioning both online poker’s security and legality. But the trend strongly suggests that for online poker companies to continue to thrive in a saturated market, online poker providers must be ready to expand geographically and tap new markets especially in Europe. And it seems online poker companies like PartyPoker and the likes are quick to respond.

Online Poker Legal Issues

Technically, it is still illegal in the United States to gamble on the Internet. This has led many online gaming and online poker providers to host their businesses outside the US. Online poker however, is legal and regulated in many countries including the United Kingdom and several nations in and around the Caribbean Sea. In Asia, Hong Kong seems to be the only country making a move to criminalize Internet gambling and online poker games.

But as legislators worldwide are learning, trying to put a stop to these new, unregulated online poker businesses isn't easy when anyone who can get access to a modem and a computer can take a seat at the online poker table. And although online poker and internet gambling still accounts for only a small percentage of the global gaming market - online gamblers and online poker players spend $1.25 out of every $100 wagered worldwide, according to Britain's Global Betting & Gaming Consultants - it has already dramatically changed the rules of the game and how online poker companies do business. Estimates vary widely, but today from $1.5 billion to $2.3 billion is spent on internet gambling and online poker, in a $290 billion global gaming market. "It's completely revolutionized the marketplace," says Warwick Bartlett, founder of Global Betting & Gaming Consultants. "It's changing the ways bookmakers operate. It's caused governments to look at their taxation policy, recognizing the challenge from offshore."

In Britain, lawmakers backtracked on imposing a betting duty on wagers in an effort to lure back online gambling and online poker companies after some of the country's biggest moneymakers moved their operations to tax havens such as Gibraltar and Costa Rica.

But the US isn’t looking back on reversing its decision to ban online gaming and online poker despite the fact that Nevada legislators went ahead and legalized online casinos and online poker games in their state earlier this year. According to William Lerner of the Prudential Equity Group, he doubts the US will change their position any time soon and that pressure from the World Trade Organization would not convince them otherwise. “With current technology, it would appear to be very difficult to regulate that business online. We've seen the US government pressure financial institutions to stop facilitating transactions and that hasn't really helped.” But he adds that there will likely be continued proliferation of online gambling and online poker providers from offshore-based companies.

The ban, based on a 1961 federal law originally designed to cover telephone bets, has been the target of the World Trade Organization (WTO). The WTO case was brought by the Caribbean state of Antigua and Barbuda, host to many of the online poker and online gaming casinos. The WTO ruled in favor of Antigua but the US has promised that it will appeal the decision. It has been a growing trend for “conservative” nations like the US and Hong Kong to spearhead the creation of legislation against online gambling on the basis of morality issues, but with various organizations like the WTO vowing to challenge them the legal status of online poker remains a question mark.

Online Poker Security

Another growing concern is security. Online poker venues may be more vulnerable to certain types of fraud, especially collusion between players. However, online poker rooms also have collusion detection abilities that do not exist in brick and mortar casinos. For example, online poker room security employees can look at the “hand history” of the cards previously played by any player on the site. Online poker rooms also check the player’s IP addresses in order to screen out any foul play. But no system, no matter how advanced, is perfect, and there are always people who will try to cheat at online poker. But as far as online poker security trends go, the task of strictly implementing current monitoring systems and finding better security systems is left to the online poker providers themselves, and this trend will probably continue.

Online Poker Payment Systems

The emergence of Poker Spot in mid 2000 was significant in more ways than one. Poker Spot became the first online poker room to offer online poker tournaments. Unfortunately, the firm was unable to give the online poker players their winnings. Owner Dutch Boyd, a popular poker player, claimed that his company was unable to collect player deposits from its credit card processing firm. The players’ money was not in the system. Because of that incident, companies offering e-cash surfaced, Neteller in particular.

Today, online poker players’ options are usually limited to credit cards, bank drafts or online payment services such as NetTeller and Paypal. But even companies like Paypal have had to limit their areas of coverage. In 2002, the company was under attack by email scams proliferated by online criminals aiming to harvest PayPal account numbers, passwords and credit card data from unsuspecting users of their online service. Paypal has since taken certain measures to protect its clients.

But Paypal wasn’t alone, major credit card companies Visa and Mastercard made the headlines when they reported that a hacker was able to successfully gain access to more than 5 million Visa and Mastercard credit card accounts in the US. Both companies immediately took action to limit damages and alerted the affected banks. Although more and more credit card companies are refusing to process payments to online gambling sites as they don't want to be seen breaking US law.

Normally most online poker sites have some form of in-house security or monitoring system in place. With growing cases of fraud every month, current online poker trends pointt towards the implementation of added security measures for most online poker room transactions using encryption algorithms from 3rd party online security firms like Verisign or Thawte.

Online Poker Robots

Another incident worth mentioning is that players may use ‘bots’ to cheat on online poker games. Last July, six programmers converged on Binion's, a downtown casino and birthplace of the World Series of Poker, lured by a winner-take-all prize of $100,000 offered by GoldenPalace.com. The challenge was to create the best software to “aid” the online poker players. After three days, PokerProbot, written by Hilton Givens of Indiana, emerged victorious, outlasting Catfish, a program written by Brian Edwards of Florida.

But the question that seems to be in everyone’s minds is: Why would a company that runs online poker games sponsor a tournament using methods that many online poker players consider shady? Steve Baker, a spokesman for GoldenPalace.com, said it would be naive to think that people wouldn't use poker bots anyway -- with or without such promotion. "I don't think this will change what happens," he said. Baker said the event might actually help online poker sites find ways to protect their customers.

While the trends lean toward online poker websites banning the use of software that assists in playing or making decisions for a player, such rules are difficult to enforce. However, the online poker industry is exploring ways to step up enforcement.

The Future of Online Poker

Even when faced with all these factors, new and advanced online poker players alike are not deterred from playing and enjoying the game with literally millions logging on everyday. Most market analysts seem to agree, online poker is the product that seems to be the current guarantor of future growth. What began as a triumphant advance in the US is now leading to a global online poker wave with tremendous potential.

When it comes to geographical expansion, analysts agree that Europe seems to be the place to go; 52% of the experts believe that Europe offers the greatest future potential for online poker. Market leader PartyPoker, for example, is planning to launch its presence on television throughout Europe very soon and already operates its site in German.

As evidence of this ever-growing trend, the amount gambled on online poker websites around the world is estimated to be more than $60 billion for 2005. The online poker playing public is hungry for more and online poker providers are more than willing to respond. These numbers alone have lead to the birth of numerous new online poker companies. It won’t be long, industry experts predict, till we see major players like Microsoft getting a piece of the action. One of Microsoft’s (MSFT) less-publicized adventures is Ninemsn, an Australia-based Internet service to which Bill Gates has pledged tens of millions of dollars with partner Australian tycoon Kerry Packer of the Crown Casino in Victoria. That partnership leads many observers to believe that an online poker room or online casino - using Microsoft platforms, of course - is reportedly in the works.

But questions threaten to darken the future of online poker: How long will it stay on top? Are we looking at a similar dot-com crash scenario - a case of too much too fast? According to researchandmarkets.com, 60% of the industry experts surveyed believe that online poker will be the dominant offer in online gambling in 2-3 years. It is likely to reach its peak of maturity by that time.

But this study also points out that the online poker market will become a tougher market in the future. With decreasing revenues per active player and growing competition, online poker operators will have to find successful strategies for the future. Industry insiders recommend that the most important strategies for the future is the creation of online poker networks, the entry into the market by more betting brands such as Ladbrokes, and the consolidation of online poker sites. We might also see other online forms of gambling like slots, baccarat and roulette gain more popularity and eventually share the same spotlight with online poker.

In conclusion, the online poker business trend is straight up. This is an industry that is definitely booming and growing bigger with each day. Thanks to a seemingly endless flood of new online poker converts, emerging new technologies and a surge of new online poker rooms competing to offer more engaging online poker experiences, the future of online poker seems bright… for now.

 
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